Italy’s Right Set for Crushing Win in Last Polls Before Vote

[Petr]

Now it's up to Italian voters to deliver the blow - Rightist parties have often over-performed the polls in elections during the last few years:

Italy’s Right Set for Landslide Win in Latest Polls Before Vote

Italy’s right-wing coalition, led by Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy, is poised for a landslide win on Sept. 25, according to the last available polls before a blackout period.

www.bloomberg.com

Italy’s Right Set for Crushing Win in Last Polls Before Vote​

• Meloni’s bloc could win two-thirds majority in parliament
• Last polls before electoral blackout published on Friday

Giorgia Meloni

By Marco Bertacche, Giovanni Salzano, and Antonio Vanuzzo

9. September 2022 klo 13.08

Italy’s right-wing coalition, led by Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy, is poised for a landslide win on Sept. 25, according to the last available polls before a blackout period.

The bloc has an advantage of almost 20 percentage points on the center-left coalition led by Enrico Letta’s Democratic Party, according to Bloomberg’s latest polling average. Such an advantage, thanks to Italy’s complex electoral system, might grant it a two-thirds majority of seats in both houses of parliament, enough to change Italy’s constitution on its own.

Support for Meloni’s Brothers of Italy has been growing steadily since she took center stage in the campaign. At 45, Meloni, who started her political career in Italy’s post-fascist party, is a political veteran but has almost no government experience. As the frontrunner to become the next prime minister, she has vowed to maintain the course set by outgoing Prime Minister Mario Draghi on support for Ukraine and fiscal discipline.

“In this electoral campaign, she repositioned, leaving behind some skepticism against the euro and European institutions,” said Marianna Griffini, a lecturer at King’s College London. “It won’t be in her best interest to shift Italy to self-sufficiency amid a general cost of living crisis.”

Meloni’s party has also been benefiting from the decline of her two allies, Silvio Berlusconi’s Forza Italia and the anti-immigrant League, led by Matteo Salvini. The latter has even been overtaken by the Five Star Movement, whose moribund electoral fortunes have been revived by former Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte’s decision to move the party’s electoral platform resolutely to the left.



To be sure, a large share of voters remains undecided, enough to tip the scales with two weeks to go before elections. Some 41% of Italians haven’t yet chosen for whom they’ll vote, according to an SWG poll for La7 published Friday.

Even so, Meloni could find herself in a position of power that few other prime ministers have held in Italy before.

An Ipsos poll for Corriere della Sera showed that Brothers of Italy could have a majority with the anti-immigration League, without the support of Berlusconi’s party. Separately, a Tecne’ poll published on Monday projected 252 to 262 seats for Meloni’s coalition in Italy’s lower house out of 400 available. In the upper house, the bloc could get 125-133 seats out of 200. This would be enough to change Italy’s constitution without a referendum.



Meanwhile, Letta’s center-left coalition has lost 1.3 percentage point to 28.2% in Bloomberg’s polling average in the past two weeks. The Democrats broke their alliance with Five Star and failed to join forces with a centrist coalition, which has been steadily gaining in the polls.

A poll blackout goes into force on Saturday, two weeks before the vote.

 

[Petr]

Meloni 'unfit to govern Italy' for defending Orban, critics say

Giorgia Meloni, likely to be Italy's next prime minister after elections this month, is unfit to lead the country, her critics said on Friday after she backed Hungarian leader Viktor Orban in a row with Europe.

www.reuters.com

September 16, 2022

Meloni 'unfit to govern Italy' for defending Orban, critics say

By Crispian Balmer

ROME, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Giorgia Meloni, likely to be Italy's next prime minister after elections this month, is unfit to lead the country, her critics said on Friday after she backed Hungarian leader Viktor Orban in a row with Europe.

Meloni is widely expected to lead a conservative alliance, including her own Brothers of Italy party, the League and Forza Italia, to victory in the Sept. 25 ballot and give the country its most right-wing administration since World War Two.

Both the Brothers of Italy and the League have close ties to Orban and rallied to his side on Thursday when the European parliament voted by 433 to 123 to denounce the "existence of a clear risk of a serious breach" by Hungary of core EU values.

Meloni defended her support for Orban, saying the vote meant her old friend might now move closer to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

"The intelligent choice would be to bring European nations closer together rather than push them apart," she told Rai radio. "We cannot give allies to our adversaries."

But Meloni's own opponents roundly condemned her and League leader Matteo Salvini for backing Orban, who has been locked in battle with the EU for years over alleged human rights abuses and undermining the independence of the judiciary and academia.

"I say that either Meloni and Salvini backtrack and publicly acknowledge they were wrong about Orban, or I say they are unfit to govern Italy," said former prime minister Giuseppe Conte, leader of the left-leaning 5-Star Movement.

Enrico Letta, head of the centre-left Democratic Party, echoed his sentiments, calling Orban "a danger to the whole of Europe". Orban himself dismissed the EU parliamentary vote on Friday as a "boring joke".

DRAGHI URGES CAUTION​

The European Commission is expected to recommend later this week suspending billions earmarked for Budapest from the bloc's 1.1 trillion euro ($1.1 trillion) shared budget for 2021-27.

Member countries would then have three months to decide on the Commission's recommendation in a majority vote, meaning Rome alone could not block such a move even if Meloni took power.

Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi urged his eventual successor to pick their foreign friends carefully.

"Our allies are Germany, France and the other European countries that defend the rule of law," he told reporters.

"One should ask oneself, which partners best help me to protect Italian interests? Who counts most amongst these partners?"

Both Meloni and Salvini have toned down some of their more eurosceptic views in recent years, but they still regularly lambast "Brussels bureaucrats" during campaign rallies and say they will put Italian interests above those of Europe.

In an unusual move, their ally Silvio Berlusconi, who leads Forza Italia, warned that he would quit a future coalition if he thought his partners were jeopardising Italy's ties with Europe and NATO.

"If these people, our allies, whom I trust and respect, were to go off in different directions, we would not stand for it," he told Rai television on Thursday.

 

[Macrobius]

Comment on that thread from Stephen Coughlin...



GK Chesteron quote at 2:00

This woman is literally taking key points from a presentation I’m developing, and she is correct. The term for what is happening is deracination. The tool is intersectionality

[1]

GK Chesteron quote at 2:00

[1]: https://unconstrainedanalytics.org/blog/

 

[Petr]

 

[Macrobius]

Meloni is so much better and more believable than Salvini when buttering up orthodox Christians. That's why she will quickly attract a big fan base in the US. They will even forgive her for her sepsis of capitalism.

At least with her quoting of the Chesterbelloc we can *hope* she will consider Distributism.

Politicians don't always do what their rhetoric says.... that goes without saying.

 

[Petr]

I am (trying to be optimistic) seeing a subtle change of focus here - Meloni, like Tucker Carlson, is more concerned about China than Russia. And this would show that she is no "true" neocon; for true neocons hate Russia much more than China.

So those who, because of their position, cannot openly sympathize with Russia, like Tucker or Meloni, can do "the next best thing" by shifting the focus of hostility from Russia to China.

 

[Macrobius]

It is good to have hope and think the best of people until they prove otherwise -- if for no other reason than the pragmatic one of giving them leeway to be Good.

Yet, it may be our current systems are beyond repair, and about to break badly, at least in the short to medium run. I don't think 'The West' is cooked even now on a century sort of time scale, but something akin to the Great Depression or worse, as the Globalist system collapses (and it must now) would not surprise me. In the short term, there's going to be enough pain to make everyone forget to bring their high horses to the party. We shall be happy I think, by 2030, to have survived at all.

In such times, the preoccupations of 'political theatre' end up looking foolish in retrospect -- certainly, the American nation in 1865, looking back at the rhetoric and politics of the 1850s did so with a sense of disgust.

 

[Gawn Chippin]

Italy should now start cleaning house, through sending volunteer migrunt nest cleaners back, in order for them to begin cleaning their own nests instead:

 

[Petr]

I certainly hope that this scenario will come true, and that Meloni is able to wisely consolidate the position of her movement before turning up the heat:

 

[Gawn Chippin]

German Scumvernment to misapropriate 2 million Euresos yearly into funding NGO invader taxis:

 

[Petr]

 

[Petr]

 

[Dr. Alan James 2.0]

A woman gonna lead Italy back to glory

Inviting a deep state operative like Musk to invest in Italy is hilarious. She might as well invite DARPA robots to come in an fix things. Let's see if she calls for a complete ban on all turd world immigration to Italy or is able to accomplish anything close to that goal. I for one, seriously doubt it. She vehemently supports NATO and the Jewrainian regime...and of course, Israel. How many times are people going to be played with false opposition leaders like her. Meloni is just a Trump with tits. There are so many other red flags around this woman's background and political positions. I simply don't have time to list them all.

 

[Petr]

After 100,000 migrants arrive in 2022, Italy set to take action against NGO migrant ferry boats

The threshold of 100,000 illegal migrants who arrived by sea in Italy this year was crossed on Dec. 21, and the number is not only a symbolic milestone but also serving as a call to action for Italy’s conservative government. The figure of 100,000 can be compared with the 64,055 on the same date...

rmx.news

After 100,000 migrants arrive in 2022, Italy set to take action against NGO migrant ferry boats​

Meloni’s government will soon force NGO ships flying flags from countries like France, Germany and Norway to accept the migrants they pick up in the Mediterranean Sea

December 29, 2022

editor: REMIX NEWS

author: OLIVIER BAULT

Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni smile as she attends her year-end press conference in Rome, Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022. (AP Photo/Alessandra Tarantino)


The threshold of 100,000 illegal migrants who arrived by sea in Italy this year was crossed on Dec. 21, and the number is not only a symbolic milestone but also serving as a call to action for Italy’s conservative government.

The figure of 100,000 can be compared with the 64,055 on the same date a year ago and the 33,867 arrivals by sea in 2020. This year’s number is the highest since 2017, the year when the left-wing government of Matteo Renzi finally decided to clamp down on the NGOs’ business of transferring illegal immigrants to Europe through passive and sometimes active cooperation with people smugglers, introducing stricter rules on how NGO ships were allowed to operate in the Mediterranean Sea.

Meloni’s government prepares to take action​

Starting next year, however, Giorgia Meloni’s government will introduce stricter rules for NGO boats operating in the Mediterranean Sea to prevent them from coordinating their activities with people smugglers and from searching for would-be immigrants near the Libyan shore.

Italy’s council of ministers was to approve on Dec. 28 a draft security decree that will include a new Code of Conduct for those NGOs and accelerate the processing of asylum requests.

One of the big changes the new right-wing government in Rome plans to introduce is that migrants taken on board an NGO boat in an alleged search-and-rescue operation will be required to declare if they intend to file an asylum request once in Europe. If this is the case, the country under whose flag a given ship is sailing will be required to take in the asylum seekers and process their requests.

The new policy change may give governments in Germany, France and other nations second thoughts about funding migrant boats operating on the Mediterranean if they are the ones forced to take these migrants in.

A second major change is that after a search-and-rescue operation, an NGO ship will have to immediately ask for a safe port to disembark the rescued migrants and will have to sail towards their designated port, without waiting for days for further opportunities to “rescue” migrants.

This is meant to put an end to the practice of systematic searching for would-be illegal immigrants, sometimes in coordination with people smugglers, instead of conducting genuine search-and-rescue operations.

The NGOs that will violate the new rules will face administrative sanctions and can eventually have their ships seized by the Italian authorities in case of repeated violations.

The second part of the new “security decree,” which will have to be later approved by Italy’s parliament to become law and remain in effect, will provide for fast processing of asylum requests and more efficient repatriation procedures for those whose requests are rejected.

Vast majority are economic migrants​

In 2016, 181,436 illegal immigrants entered Italy. Thanks to the new rules introduced by Interior Minister Marco Minniti in the summer of 2017 and a memorandum of cooperation that was then signed with the Libyan government in Tripoli, the number dropped that year to 119,310.

The lowest number —and the lowest death toll as well — was reached in 2019 after over a year with Matteo Salvini as Italy’s interior minister, with “only” 19,471 migrants arrivals by sea. However, that number included a significant rise observed from September to December, when Salvini’s League was replaced by the center-left Democratic Party as the 5-Star Movement’s coalition partner under Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte.

Similarly to what was observed during the previous years, most of the migrants who have crossed the Mediterranean Sea on small fishing boats or bigger ships run by European NGOs this year did not escape war. Out of the 100,000 who had arrived from Jan. 1 to Dec. 21, some 86,000 were from countries at peace. Out of these, over 20,000 were from Egypt, and almost 18,000 were from Tunisia. Bangladesh came third with over 14,000 of its citizens among those who reached Italy through the Mediterranean Sea this year.

None of those countries are at war or known for persecuting their citizens, so it is clear most of those migrants have spent thousands of euros and risked their lives in the hope of a better standard of living in Europe.

It is also worth noting that out of those more than 100,000 new immigrants, over 30,000 have come from Tunisia using small boats and 73,173 sailed from the Libyan coast between Jan. 1 and Dec. 20, of whom 22,216 were turned back by Libyan coast guards. An additional 17,583 sailed from Turkey or Lebanon according to data from Italy’s interior ministry compiled by Il Giornale.

This year, there have been 15 ships active transporting migrants on the Mediterranean belonging to 12 different NGOs, of which only one is Italian. The biggest ships are run by the Franco-Swiss organization Doctors without Borders (MSF) and the “European” organization SOS Méditerranée whose headquarters are in France and which is financed in large part by French local authorities. Both the former’s Geo Barents ship (3,844 migrants disembarked in Italy this year, as of Dec. 20) and the latter’s Ocean Viking (2,387) fly the Norwegian flag. Germany’s Sea Watch came only third this year with its two ships having disembarked 1,825 migrants in Italy, but it will have a newer, bigger ship, the Sea Watch 5, to take even more migrants on board from next year on.

Can Meloni succeed?​

The Meloni government’s efforts to control immigration by sea will depend much on bilateral agreements they manage to secure with the countries of origin of those migrants. In addition, it remains to be seen whether Meloni’s government will have the courage to keep migrants under surveillance in closed facilities until their asylum requests are processed and until they are sent back to their home country for those whose requests are rejected.

All of these actions would necessarily set Italy on a collision course with the pro-immigration European elites in Brussels, Paris, and Berlin.

 

[Petr]

 

[Gawn Chippin]

...3,844 migrants disembarked in Italy this year, as of Dec. 20) and the latter’s Ocean Viking (2,387) fly the Norwegian flag...

If decendants of Vikings sport oriental carpets in their homes and are even to afraid to give an invasive ladder a little nudge, then the title of this ship is appropriate:

 

[Gawn Chippin]

Moar embarassing Viking posterity

 

[Gawn Chippin]

and another

{/center]​