kanethenotorious
Phoron
So I've been right about every election since 2004 when John Kerry lost to George W Bush and I'm predicting a Trump win. The reason is largely foreign policy. The TikTok ban doesn't help, where Biden is a clear "yes" while Trump flip flopped to a "no." In Russia, the problem can be traced back to 2014 when Obama overthrew the Ukrainian regime, putting the blame on Obama/Biden. Then Biden's base is divided on Israel while Trump's base is all in on Israel. So Biden can't afford that. I think Biden is worse on Ukraine but Trump is worse on Israel but Biden is still bad. I liked Trump in 2016 but don't think he actually drained the swamp, think he takes out personality grudges but doesn't really challenge GOP policy as the GOP changed Trump more than Trump changed the GOP. The electorate tends to flip back and forth with swing voters. Personally, I plan to vote third party but I'm not sure if I want to vote for Stein or Kennedy. They say that's throwing your vote away but it's not, it's making a statement with your vote. I don't really want Trump to win but I don't want Biden to win either, while in 2020 I thought Biden deserved a shot at it and in 2016 I was a Trump supporter.
See my tiktok on the subject:
See my tiktok on the subject: