Impoverished, debt-trapped African nations are now beginning to turn to Russia as their champion

Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Сила бога-нам подмога
France has long held neo-colonial empire in Africa that has long been maintained through debt traps and currency manipulation (as France has absolute control over the CFA Franc), and only now is it beginning to show signs of collapse before their very eyes. Already, Mali and Burkina Faso are expelling the French in the streets of Bamako and Ouagadougou, making their demands known:



Now, here's the real unknown variable that has revealed its value to the world: Russia has more-or-less decided to intervene into Africa for the first time since perhaps the 1960s, and this has really threatened the French as now the Malienne and Burkinabe forces have potential Russian aid to support them.



What's rather interesting is that almost no one is reporting on this in the mainstream, or they're completely ignoring the Russian angle; And yet, the people of both Mali and Burkina Faso are waving Russian flags, pledging allegiance to Russian President Vladimir Putin so long as he expels the French from the nation and restores their economic sovereignty:



Naturally, France doesn't like this, and much as a dog barks, they have now gone to the UN to gripe and moan about their declining relevance in Africa:

France, UN join West African states in denouncing Burkina Faso army takeover

French President Emmanuel Macron on Tuesday condemned what he called a "military coup" in Burkina Faso, a day after soldiers said they had seized power in the West African country.


Macron said that France was "clearly, as always" in agreement with the West African regional grouping ECOWAS "in condemning this military coup".
The regional organisation as well as Western powers and the United Nations have denounced the takeover and called for the release of President Roch Marc Christian Kaboré.
Burkina Faso, where France is the former colonial power, is among five Sahel countries where French troops have been assisting local forces against jihadist insurgencies, though Macron announced plans last year to start drawing down French forces.
Speaking to parliament on Tuesday, French Defense Minister Florence Parly however said the coup in Burkina Faso, as well as an earlier one in neighbouring Mali, were no reason for France and its allies to end their security operations in the Sahel.
Kaboré has not been seen in public since his ouster but Macron told journalists on Tuesday that he was “told” that Kaboré “is not in danger of physical harm".
The French president also voiced support for the ousted Burkinabé leader, noting that he was “elected twice by his people in democratic votes".

‘This is what we want’

A day after soldiers on national TV read a statement by Lieutenant-Colonel Paul-Henri Sandaogo Damiba announcing the military takeover, more than 1,000 people gathered in the capital Ouagadougou on Tuesday in support of the coup.
A Reuters reporter saw a group burning a French flag, a sign of growing frustration about the military role the former colonial power still plays in the region.
Russian flags also dotted the demonstration and several demonstrators called on Moscow to replace France in the fight against jihadists. France and the US have accused Mali's military junta of deploying mercenaries from the Russian Wagner group, which the regime denies.
In Ouagadougou's national square on Tuesday, demonstrators gathered to play live music, blow horns and dance.
"This is what we want," said Armel Ouedraogo, one of the demonstrators. "ECOWAS doesn't care about us, and the international community only wants to condemn."

UN chief slams ‘unacceptable’ coup

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres on Tuesday said military coups are “unacceptable”,' calling on West African armies to defend their people rather than fight for power.
Burkina Faso’s military takeover marked the fifth coup in West and Central Africa this decade.
"My appeal is for the armies of these countries to assume their professional role of armies to protect their countries and re-establish the democratic institutions," Guterres told reporters before a Security Council meeting on protecting civilians in war zones.

The UN human rights office said it was crucial to preserve democratic space in the West African nation and ensure that the rule of law is respected.
"We call on the military to immediately release President Roch Marc Christian Kaboré and other high-level officials who have been detained. We urge a swift return to constitutional order," spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani told reporters in Geneva.
Michelle Bachelet, the UN high commissioner for human rights, visited the country in November 2021, when she stressed the importance of preserving the democratic and human rights gains made there.

"The high commissioner deeply deplores the military takeover of power in Burkina Faso," said Shamdasani.
Shamdasani said that during Bachelet's visit in November, she observed mounting frustration and impatience with the deteriorating security situation.
"In the face of the security threats and tremendous humanitarian challenges facing the country, it is more important than ever to ensure that the rule of law, constitutional order, and the country's obligations under international human rights law are fully respected," the spokeswoman said.

"It is crucial for democratic space to be effectively protected, to ensure people are able to air their grievances and aspirations, and to participate in meaningful dialogue to work towards addressing the many crises in the country."
Bachelet's office pledged to continue monitoring the human rights situation in Burkina Faso.

Of course, they're going to focus on the angle of human rights and potential abuses against 'minorities' like LGBT and whatnot, despite the fact that France has consistently assassinated popular leaders and installed bloodthirsty dictators with abandon. But this time, the lid finally seems like it blew off the top, and Russia is not going to sit by idly.

African nations are natural allies of Russia, and I think this development will only strengthen the resolve of Russia at the UN with some newfound diplomatic allies in Bamako and Ougadougou.
 

Petr

Administrator
((( Joel Meyer )))


Mali expels French ambassador as tensions mount

Malian authorities have given French ambassador Joel Meyer 72 hours to leave the country. It marks a further deterioration in the military junta's relationship with its international partners.

President Assimi Goita (center) sits next to Malian military officials at a meeting

Strongman Assimi Goita, pictured center, is serving as interim president in Mali

Mali has ordered the French ambassador to leave the West African country in response to what it called "hostile and outrageous" comments about its military government.

Ambassador Joel Meyer was summoned to the Foreign Affairs Ministry on Monday and given 72 hours to depart.

The move follows remarks by French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian on Friday, during which he called Mali's military junta "illegitimate" and its decisions "irresponsible."

Mali's transitional government shot back in a statement on Monday saying it "condemns and rejects these remarks, which are contrary to the development of friendly relations between nations."


Joel Meyer

French envoy Joel Meyer has been given 72 hours to leave Mali

Growing tensions between Mali and France

Relations between Mali and its former colonial ruler deteriorated sharply this month when the junta went back on an agreement to organize elections in February and proposed holding power until 2025.

Coup attempts persist in West Africa​

France is also concerned about Mali's alleged use of Russian mercenaries to fight Islamist insurgents. France is leading an international contingent fighting the insurgency across several countries in the Sahel region.

French Defense Minister Florence Parly said Saturday that French troops would not stay in Mali if the price was too high.

Denmark withdrawing troops amid dispute​

Mali last week asked Denmark to withdraw its troops, part of an international contingent fighting the insurgency.

France asked Mali to let the Danish troops stay, but a spokesperson for the government told France to keep its "colonial reflexes" to itself.

On Monday, Danish Foreign Minister Jeppe Kofod condemned Mali's move to expel the French ambassador.

"Such irresponsible behavior is not what we expect from Mali," he wrote on Twitter, adding that the country would lose its international credibility.


Denmark's defense minister said European allies were drawing up plans on how best to continue their fight against militants in Mali given the strained relations with the military junta.
 

Petr

Administrator

Central Africa PM fired amid tensions over Russia-France tug of war


EURACTIV.com with AFP

9:19

The Central African Republic’s prime minister has been sacked, the presidency confirmed Monday (7 February), against the backdrop of tensions between pro-Russian and pro-French factions within the government of the poor, unstable country.

Henri-Marie Dondra had been named prime minister in June 2021, shortly after Paris froze budgetary aid, accusing it of “complicity” in what it called a Russian “disinformation” campaign against the country’s former colonial master France.

Presidency spokesman Albert Yaloke Mokpeme told AFP that Dondra was “fired” and replaced by his economy minister, Felix Moloua, confirming a weekend report by online news website Africa Intelligence.

President Faustin-Archange Touadéra was attending an African Union summit in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa at the time.

Russia’s influence in the Central African Republic (CAR) has increased steadily over the past four years.

In late 2020, at Bangui’s request, Russian military contractors, alongside troops deployed by Rwanda, helped quell a rebellion against Touadéra.

With their help, CAR government forces recaptured much of the two-thirds of the country — and several major towns — that the rebels previously controlled.


At the time of Dondra’s appointment as prime minister he was perceived as more “pro-French” than his predecessor Firmin Ngrebada, seen as more sympathetic to the Russians.

“Touadéra had named Dondra because he was close to international donors and he had good relations with France,” said Roland Marchal, a researcher at Sciences Po university in Paris.


But Dondra had “little control” over the defence and foreign ministers as well as the influential pro-Russian parliament speaker, Simplice Sarandji, Marchal told AFP.

Technocrats

Moloua, the new prime minister, is considered a Touadéra loyalist and a technocrat “with no political profile”, according to a diplomat who requested anonymity.

Trained as a demographer, the 64-year-old was the chief of staff at the economy ministry for eight years before being assigned the portfolio by Touadéra in 2016.

Touadéra is himself a technocrat, educated in France and Cameroon.

Mineral-rich but rated the world’s second-poorest country according to the UN’s Human Development Index, the CAR has been chronically unstable since independence 60 years ago.

A civil war broke out in 2013, pitting myriad militias against a state on the verge of collapse, leaving thousands of people dead and forcing more than a quarter of the population of 4.9 million to flee their homes.

The fighting had lessened considerably in recent years, but it resumed abruptly when rebels launched their failed offensive to overthrow Touadéra.

The UN accused both sides in the fighting of human rights abuses.

The private military contractors are often described as belonging to the “Wagner group” — an entity with no known legal status.

Last week the European Union said it would resume a suspended military training mission in the CAR if the country’s soldiers stopped working for Wagner.

...
 

Petr

Administrator

French Forces Set To Leave Mali In Disgrace As Attempts To Partition Mali Fail and ECOWAS Blockade Fails

Andrew

17 hours ago

FK9SMDCXoAUYeqN.jpeg


Mali for over a decade now been the target of everything from degeneracy promotion to terrorist insurgency to attempts to partition the country.


French Foreign Minister Jean Yves Le Drian has announced that the French military would “continue fighting terrorism” in the Sahel but no longer in Mali.

This was announced after a meeting between France its European allies in Mali virtually on this situation in Mali and the general fight against Takfiri Wahhabi terrorism in the Sahel region.

Jean Yves Le Drian said that the conditions were no longer fit for the French military to continue fighting Takfiri Wahhabi terrorism in the Sahel country.

It should be noted France intervened in 2013 and has failed to quash the terrorist insurgency in France, not because they can’t because a strong Mali is not in their interests.

One should just compare this to Algeria who is surrounded by terrorist threats on all sides of its borders, with Zionists and Narcoterrorists in Morocco, Takfiri Wahhabis in Mali, Niger, and Libya, and Mauritania it being easy to infiltrate given it is thrice as big as France, but has only 4.4 million people and the country is overwhelmingly desert.

Putting aside the French failures being intentional, tensions between France and Mali have been rising sharply amid a wide range of issues for over a year now.

It began on August 18th, 2020, when the corrupt and loathed French puppet President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita was overthrown in a popular military take over, they were able to get the army to hand power to a more France friendly man Bah N’daw under a transition deal that N’daw didn’t hold true to.

On May 24th, 2021, Bah N’daw was removed by the armed forces and Colonel Assimi Goita became President of the Republic and leading the transition and Choguel Kokalla Maïga from the M5 Movement became Prime Minister.

The French a little over a week after announced suspension of “joint military efforts” in the fight against the Takfiri Wahhabi terrorism seeking guarantees the civilian rule would return.

On July 3rd the French announced the resuming of its military operation in Mali.

Amid French provocations against Mali’s larger neighbor Algeria which saw Algiers retaliate including closing Algerian airspace to French aircraft, the Malian military began to look to the Wagner Group as one option to diversify its security relationships and to see the terrorist threat eliminated.

On October 8th, Prime Minister Choguel Kokalla Maiga detailed how the French military created an enclave in the desert town of Kidal and handed it over to the Al Qaeda linked Ansar al Din.

On new calendar Christmas Eve, the French and 12 other countries condemned the alleged presence of the Russian mercenaries in Mali while Bamako confirmed the presence of Russian trainers in Mali.

On January 7th, the Russians took over the base in Timbuktu that the French vacated.

Two days later when the Malian military announced the delaying of elections ECOWAS the French puppet economic bloc in West Africa imposed a blockade against the country. However this time it didn’t work because Guinea, which saw a military takeover also, they kept their borders open with Mali, but also Algeria and Mauritania refused to close the borders with Mali.

The UN, the EU, and the Globalist American Empire demanded they hold to the election timeline in February 2022.

It should be noted the Malian military would be accused of fixing the elections if they were held in February because there is the issue of the fact Mali’s government doesn’t have control of the whole country making elections possible in the whole of the Malian territory.

A few weeks later the French Foreign Minister called the military government illegitimate and claimed the Russians are plundering Mali’s resources. While the Russians do plunder resources just ask Finns and the Baltic States, the French showed no proof and needless to say the Russians don’t store the financial reserves of many West and Central African countries because they have the old colonial currencies of the West African CFA Franc and the Central African CFA Franc.

The French Ambassador was expelled on January 31st, 2022 much to the delight of the Malian public.

One should note the French were all too happy to welcome the coup in Chad where Mahamat Deby seized power after his father died as opposed to the National Assembly President who was supposed to be the constitutional successor in case the President dies or is impeached. Suddenly the African Union didn’t give a damn about unconstitutional changes of power then. Chad is still a member of the AU.

Mali has not only sought to work with the Russians facilitated by Algeria, Mauritania and Guinea but also with Iran who could be set to get security aid from Tehran alongside help in the medical sector.

The ECOWAS bloc at the behest of France has tried its hardest especially to try to get Mauritania especially to join the blockade given the importance of the Nouakchott port for Mali’s access to the sea.

Different ECOWAS states and officials have tried to play good cop bad cop with President Mohamed Ould Ghazouani and the Mauritanian government. This includes threats against Mauritania for not playing ball but also attempts to bribe it into joining the blockade.

Almost all these ECOWAS states that supported the blockade don’t have a border with Mali and if they do it is in the Southern parts of Mali which security wise are safer. Cote d’Ivoire and Senegal have borders with Mali that are not facing the security threats that Mauritania’s border with Mali has. While the rest outside Niger don’t have a border with Mali at all.

It is largely a useless endeavor for ECOWAS states to even threaten Mauritania because its economy is not even remotely dependent on the ECOWAS states but it is far more reliant on Algeria, Morocco, Spain, China, and Gulf Arab states.



What we see in Mali is a very difficult and turbulent attempt to break free from the Globohomo system that has been targeting and trying to destroy them for over a decade. Sexual liberation and globohomo didn’t work, the partition attempts didn’t work, the use of terrorists didn’t work, and sanctions aren’t gonna change the popular will in Mali.

Andrew

Andrew

20-years-old
Orthodox Christian
American Nationalist
Social Conservative
Anti Communist
Anti Capitalist
Anti Zionist
 

Gawn Chippin

Arachnocronymic Metaphoron
France would do well, in returning the colonial livestock of which never belonged there in the first place:


...The French international then chases the animal around his dining room...
 

Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Сила бога-нам подмога
Kenya is alarming Western correspondents associated with the controlled press with their pro-Russian sentiments, alarming the hypocrites with the way they support Russia:

 

Petr

Administrator

Russia's reengagement with Africa pays off

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is on a four-nation tour to Africa. The trip is part of Russia's ongoing charm offensive on the continent to shore up support.

  • 26.07.2022
  • Antonio Cascais

After visits to Egypt and the Republic of the Congo, Sergey Lavrov landed in Uganda on Tuesday and will continue onto Ethiopia.

Like many African nations, Uganda, Ethiopia and Congo have remained neutral on Russia's war in Ukraine, with all three either abstaining or being absent during the UN's General Assembly vote in March condemning Russia's attack on Ukraine.

In a statement published in newspapers in the four countries he is visiting, Lavrov praised Africa for resisting what he called "undisguised attempts of the US and their European satellites" to impose a unipolar world order.

"We appreciate the considered African position as to the situation in and around Ukraine," he wrote in the column. He also praised the "independent path" of African countries in not joining sanctions against Russia despite what he called "unprecedented" Western pressure.


Russia's foreign minister Sergey Lavrov and Egypt's President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi hold a document together

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reassured h Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi that grain supplies would continue

The reservations of many Africa nations in taking sides over the war in Ukraine were highlighted back in April when the UN General Assembly voted to suspend Russia's membership of the Human Rights Council.

Only 10 out of 54 African states voted in favor of the resolution, whereas nine were opposed, and 35 abstained or were absent.

This is considerably less than the 28 African countries who supported the UN's resolution held in March that called for Russian troops to withdraw from Ukraine "immediately, completely and unconditionally."

On the wrong side of history?

The muted response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine generated some fierce criticism, especially from intellectuals, diplomats and opposition politicians in South Africa.

"The refusal to condemn this war puts South Africa on the wrong side of history," said Herman Mashaba of the newly formed opposition party, ActionSA, at the time.

Mashaba said it was obvious that Russia's invasion of Ukraine was a "violation of international principles of law" and accused South Africa's ruling African National Congress (ANC) of refusing to cut ties with Russia, a historical ally.

President Cyril Ramaphosa subsequently defended his government's decision to abstain from voting on the UN resolution.

In a statement shortly after the UN vote, Ramaphosa said that the resolution failed to emphasize the role of peaceful dialogue in stopping the war, which is why South Africa couldn't support it.

Angolan political scientist Olivio N'kilumbu said many in the ANC are still loyal to Russia.

"Some are of the opinion that the former liberation movement still owes the Russians a lot since the days of the Cold War, and now we Africans have to shut up about the Russian invasion," he told DW.

Russian propaganda aims to "revive the old connections between the Soviet Union and liberation movements" in many African countries, including South Africa, he said.

Battle of words on Twitter

One example of this is a March tweet from Russia's Embassy in South Africa, which thanked South Africans who had expressed their solidarity with Russia's fight against what the tweet referred to as "Nazism in Ukraine."

Germany's embassy in South Africa quickly responded with a tweet of its own.

"Sorry, but we can't keep silent on this one, it's just far too cynical. What Russia is doing in Ukraine is slaughtering innocent children, women and men, for its own gain. It's definitely not 'fighting Nazism'. Shame on anyone who's falling for it," says the German reaction, which ends with a statement in brackets: "Sadly, we're kinda experts on Nazism."

But in turn, Germany's response provoked some heavy criticisms from South African Twitter users.

Some pointed to the Soviet Union's support for South Africa's apartheid liberation struggle while others sided with Russia's justification for the invasion of Ukraine or were critical of Germany's colonial history in southern Africa.

One user writes: "Russia is only opposing NATO's advance into Ukrainian territory. The consequences of this expansion were clear and NATO decided to ignore them. This war was foreseeable and avoidable."

Another user asks: "What did Germany do in Namibia?"

Africa's historic connection to the Soviet Union

Political scientist N'Kilumbu said that Russia's propaganda is also directed at other African countries, especially in the south of the continent, whose liberation movements have political and military support from the former Soviet Union.

By abstaining from voting on the UN's Ukraine resolution, countries like Angola, Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Namibia had this "historic friendship in mind," N'Kilumbu said.

Africa Map showing how countries voted in the UN resolution


"Especially in Angola and Mozambique, there has been virtually no political change since the Cold War era. And that's why the umbilical cord that connects these countries to Moscow has never been severed," said N'Kilumbu.

The People's Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA), for example, continues to maintain close ties with Russia's military, business and political elites, N'Kilumbu points out.

"At the military level, we still have Russian instructors. Our military academy is Russian-influenced," he said.

Russian resources and weapons

In recent years, Russia has increasingly used this historic Soviet connections to expand its political, economic and, above all, military relations with African nations.

In 2019, Vladimir Putin hosted a Russia-Africa Summit attended by 43 African leaders. Just one year later, Russia became Africa's biggest arms supplier.

According to a 2020 analysis by the peace research institute SIPRI, between 2016 and 2020 around 30% of all arms exported to sub-Saharan Africa countries came from Russia.

This vastly overshadows weapon supplies from other nations such as China (20%), France (9.5%) and the USA (5.4%).


This increased the volume of Russian arms shipments by 23% over the previous five-year period.

Russia's Tu-160-Bomber in Pretoria

Russia's Tu-160-Bomber in Pretoria: South Africa is Africa's most important weapons buyer

Arming the Central African Republic

Nowhere on the continent has Russian influence grown as rapidly as in the Central African Republic (CAR).

The intensified cooperation between the two nations began in 2017, when Russia delivered weapons, including Kalashnikovs and surface-to-air missiles, to the war-torn country for the first time.

Since then, Russia has gradually increased its presence in CAR. In 2018, Russian military advisers were dispatched to CAR with the official aim of training local armed forces.

Meanwhile, numerous Russian companies have received licenses to mine gold and diamonds in the country while its president, Faustin-Archange Touadera, is now guarded by Russians.

His main security adviser is Valery Sakharov, a former employee of Russia's domestic intelligence service, the FSB.

Given Moscow's ties to the nation, it is unsurprising that a pro-Russia rally took place in the capital Bangui after the UN's March vote, said political scientist Olivio N'Kilumbu.

Demonstrators held up placards with slogans such as "Russia, CAR is with you" and "Russia save Donbas," a reference to a region in eastern Ukraine where Russian-backed separatists have been fighting Ukrainian forces since 2014.

'Wagner is in Mali'

Russia has also expanded its presence in crisis-ridden Mali. The Russian private military company Wagner has been present in Mali since the end of 2021, according to independent observers and media investigations.

The Guardian newspaper cited seeing internal Malian army documents that refer to “Russian instructors” who are on “mixed missions”.

In Mali, Wagner mercenaries have been linked to a series of incidents resulting in the killings of hundreds of civilians.

In the most serious case, Malian forces together with Wagner soldiers reportedly killed at least 350 people in a four-day massacre the village of Moura in March.


Rights groups have expressed their concern that the activities of the Wagner group are linked to atrocities in Mali, as well as elsewhere in Africa.
Wagner mercenaries have also played a role in Mozambique, Sudan and CAR.

Although the Kremlin has denied links to the Wanger group, analysts often point to its close ties to the Russian government.

"Its management and operations are deeply intertwined with the Russian military and intelligence community," finds the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based think tank, in a 2020 analysis.

"The Russian government has found Wagner and other private military companies to be useful as a way to extend its influence overseas without the visibility and intrusiveness of state military forces."

A pro-Russia demo in Bangui on Sunday with placards

A pro-Russia demo in Bangui on Sunday: "Russia CAR is with you" reads one placard


Political, historical and military dependencies

Guinean writer and intellectual Tierno Monenembo believes that many African states will never free themselves from Russia's grip, especially given their increasing reliance on Moscow's military prowess.

Against this backdrop, he said, the decision by 25 African states not to condemn Russia's invasion of Ukraine during the March UN vote is understandable.

"In such a situation, it is difficult for African nations to take a stand," he said. "When you are small, when you are weak, if you're poorly armed and underdeveloped, you don't just get involved in a conflict between military superpowers. That's the business of the big players."

He added: "There is a Fulani proverb that says: 'The chicken doesn't need to discuss the price of the knife. Whoever is in possession of the knife — that is who will cut the chicken's throat."


This article was originally written in German. It was updated on July 26 to include current events.
 

Petr

Administrator
Some sour-grapes neocon commentary:


Has President Macron abandoned Mali to the jihadists?

The withdrawal of the French military from Mali, and the opportunity this presents to Islamic terror cells, could be as disastrous a policy for President Macron as the withdrawal from Afghanistan was for Joe Biden

August 17, 2022

editor: REMIX NEWS

author: THOMAS BROOKE

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FILE - French Barkhane force soldiers who wrapped up a four-month tour of duty in the Sahel leave their base in Gao, Mali, June 9, 2021. French officials announced Monday Aug. 15, 2022 that the last soldier from the operation has now left Mali, finalising the withdrawal of French troops after a 10-year-long presence. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay, File)


France ended its nine-year military deployment in Mali on Monday as President Macron approved the official withdrawal of all French troops from the West African nation marred by political violence and a rise in Islamic extremism.

France initially sent 5,000 troops into the former French colony back in 2013 following the return home of insurgents and mercenaries who had helped topple Muammar Gaddafi in Libya, and remained determined to fight for the independence of Mali’s northern territory. The anti-insurgent mission was named Operation Barkhane.

Despite being initially welcomed by the locals, the reputation of the French military across the country diminished over time, and the frequency of terrorist attacks and guerrilla warfare conducted on Malian soil rose rapidly.

Critics of the French withdrawal, however, have accused President Macron of abandoning the country and relinquishing all control to the spate of terrorist organizations operating out of both Mali and the wider Sahel region. Parallels have been drawn to the disastrous military withdrawal of the United States and its allies from Afghanistan last year, and the return to power of the Taliban.

“Mali is now alone with its choices,” wrote Nicolas Barotte, the defense correspondent for French newspaper Le Figaro. “Faced with the jihadist groups of the RVIM, linked to al-Qaeda, and the EIGS, affiliated with Daesh, Bamako will no longer be able to count on the support of the Barkhane force, which withdrew its last soldiers on Monday,” he added.

Following France’s lukewarm enthusiasm for the continued military operation in recent times, the Malian government resorted to cosying up to the Kremlin and private Russian military groups like Wagner, which has increased its significant presence in the country. Barotte explains in his analysis for Le Figaro that 1,000 Russian mercenaries are now stationed in the country, supporting the operations of the Malian armed forces. It is arguable however that there presence has merely antagonized locals and aided the recruitment drives of Islamic extremist organizations.

“The capacity for recruitment is infinite,” one source in the French military told the newspaper.

“It’s hard to see how the [Malian military] Fama and Wagner are going to prevent the tide from rising again,” they added.

As French soldiers packed up their belongings and dismantled military camps, the inevitable security deterioration of Mali has been evident to all. At the end of last month, Malian armed forces attempted to repel terrorist attacks in the towns of Sávaré, Sokolo, and Kalumba, which resulted in 54 casualties.

Further to this, 42 Malian soldiers died during an attack in Tessit at the beginning of August, the responsibility for which was claimed by the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (EIGS), a terrorist group that has shown considerable signs of regeneration in the last two years.

On Monday, an affiliate of Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for the deaths of four Russian mercenaries in an ambush in the town of Bandiagara in central Mali.


“The war [the Malian army] will have to wage against the jihadists promises to be violent,” Barotte wrote, and warned that such a conflict will inevitably “result in many losses in the civilian population.”
 

Petr

Administrator

Exclusive interview: The Russians gained control of several African countries ‘because France shot itself in both feet,’ says French expert on Africa


Russia has taken steps in recent years to solidify its diplomatic relations across Africa at France’s expense, warns Prof. Bernard Lugan, a French Africanist and historian in an exclusive interview with Remix News

September 26, 2022

editor: REMIX NEWS

author: OLIVIER BAULT

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Born in Morocco during the French protectorate, Bernard Lugan worked at Rwanda’s University of Butare from 1972 to 1982. After moving back to France in the 1980s, he held a chair at the Jean Moulin University in Lyon and until recently, before his retirement, he taught at the École de Guerre officers’ school and the Saint-Cyr Coëtquidan military academy. He was an expert witness for the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda from 2002 to 2012, producing several reports. He is the author of an online monthly magazine called “L’Afrique Réelle” (The Real Africa) and has written a number of books, the latest of which, published in 2022, is entitled “Comment la France est devenue la colonie de ses colonies” (How France has become a colony of its colonies).


How did the Russians manage to replace the French in Mali with their Wagner Group?

The truth is the French have put themselves out of Mali on their own, just as they had already done in the Central African Republic. There has been an accumulation of French political errors and this is what I have been explaining for years on my blog and in my books. Nature abhors a vacuum and in Mali, as in the Central African Republic, the Russians came up because the French shot themselves in both feet.

Concerning Mali, the political error committed by the French was to put forward a mistaken diagnosis which consisted in talking about the fight against Islamist terrorism. The problem in that country is not a question of religious terrorism. This is not a religious issue but a problem of traditional opposition between various populations, an opposition which is indeed used by the jihadists. However, as I have explained many times, if overnight the jihadist groups were eliminated as if by a wave of a magic wand, the Mali question would still not be resolved. The real issue in Mali is the opposition between the north and the south, that is, the opposition between the white populations of the north, the Tuareg, and the populations of the south, with the Fulani in the middle, who are fighting against both the northerners and the southerners. It is thus an ethnic wound that is super-infected by jihadism.

France has made the serious mistake of ignoring the ethnic question. The military had seen it, but the civilians in Paris refused to see it. This brought us to a dead end, with results on the military level, but which did not lead to anything.

In fact, the Wagner group (Russia’s mercenary group which operates outside of army structures) is a sort of presidential guard for the current Malian authorities, with a few small elements that help support some of the Malian forces that are in a difficult situation today in the face of various rebellions. It is not at all intended to replace the French army and make the Malian government win the war. It has neither the human nor the material means. It also lacks the political means and the necessary knowledge of the country.

Do the accusations of abuses against the civilian population made against Wagner’s mercenaries in Mali seem credible to you?

Yes, they are credible, but it is not Wagner, it is Malians liquidating members of other ethnicities, and there happen to be Wagner people there. However, it is not Wagner who causes this. Wagner’s men are in support. There are eight or ten Wagner men for every 300 to 400 Malian soldiers. Malian soldiers fall on the Fulani and massacre them, and there are people from Wagner who are present, but they are not the ones who organize these kinds of massacres.

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This undated photograph handed out by French military shows Russian mercenaries boarding a helicopter in northern Mali. Russia has engaged in under-the-radar military operations in at least half a dozen countries in Africa in the last five years using a mercenary force analysts say is loyal to President Vladimir Putin. The analysts say the Wagner Group of mercenaries is also key to Putin’s ambitions to re-impose Russian influence on a global scale. (French Army via AP)

Do you think that France is making the same mistakes in the other Sahelian countries where it is still present, such as in Niger, for example?

Yes, and Niger is going to follow suit. France’s next two failures are going to be in Niger and Chad. I don’t know if it will happen in a month, in six months or in a year, but if France continues on the same line, failure is guaranteed.

We could then see the Wagner Group arrive in these two countries, couldn’t we?

I’m not sure the Russians can afford to send Wagner at this time when they have problems in Ukraine. I don’t think we’re in the same situation as we were a year ago, when Wagner was appearing everywhere, even in Guinea. As the Russians have been fighting a war with 200,000 men against 800,000 Ukrainians, they are forced to repatriate a maximum number of troops and I therefore find it difficult to see how they could develop a policy of replacing the French at the present time.

One can see in past titles of your monthly magazine L’Afrique Réelle that you were already talking in 2019 about the “great return of Russia to Africa,” you had topics on “Russia’s African policy” as early as 2018, and even in 2017 regarding Libya, and so there seems to be, well beyond the current presence of the Wagner Group in several countries, a real Russian strategy in Africa, right?

In fact, Russian President Vladimir Putin has resumed the exact same strategy that was deployed by Soviet Russia in the last phase of the Cold War. As long as Stalin was in power, Russia was mainly interested in Europe, it did not have a truly global vision. Then, as the political elites in the Soviet Union changed, the USSR realized that the West was encircling it with its network of alliances in Europe, Asia, etc.

The doctrine that was developed at that time by the Politburo of the Soviet Union was to surround the encirclers. It was a question of taking on those who were encircling the Soviet Union, i.e. helping the countries of North Africa, Asia, etc., and trying to have allies south of the Mediterranean Sea to break the encirclement.

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FILE – Malians demonstrate against France and in support of Russia on the 60th anniversary of the independence of the Republic of Mali in 1960, in Bamako, Mali, Sept. 22, 2020. The banner in French reads: “Putin, the road to the future”. Russia has engaged in under-the-radar military operations in at least half a dozen countries in Africa in the last five years using a shadowy mercenary force, Wagner, analysts say is loyal to President Vladimir Putin. (AP Photo/File)

Putin started to pursue exactly the same policy from the moment he realized that Europe did not want him. When he first came to power, Putin was very European. He was truly a European, not a Siberian Russian but a Baltic Russian. So he thought he could have dealings with Europe but, for various reasons, this did not happen. So when he realized that Europe was turning its back on him because it had chosen the United States, he felt that Russia was surrounded. He thus found himself exactly in the situation of the Soviet Union in the period when this African policy was decided.

In order to try and break the circle that exists in his eyes against Russia, Putin turned back to the Soviet Union’s Africa, using Russia’s old networks to that end. Let’s not forget that countries like Sudan, Guinea, Mali, and many others, are countries where young people were trained at the Patrice Lumumba University in Moscow. Those people are now in their fifties or sixties, and they are in power or in positions of influence. So, Russia has reactivated its old friendship networks.

This is something that is clearly visible, but since we have political leaders in the West who have no historical memory and no culture, they have not understood this.

What has changed with the war in Ukraine?

I myself am not an expert in the internal life of Russia, but I can say that the Russian presence is less visible in Africa today. Russia probably does not have the means to deploy there when the house is on fire. Russia’s power abroad is being weakened. Just look at what just happened between Azerbaijan and Armenia. While the Russian troops are supposed to be there to ensure that the ceasefire is respected, there has been fighting, and even severe fighting, with more than a hundred deaths.

I was going to ask you if France and Europe were not at risk of being deprived by Russia of access to hydrocarbon resources and raw materials in Africa, but if I understand correctly, if there is a risk, it comes rather from China…


Let’s be clear, in terms of raw materials, Africa is not strategic. It only plays an important role for a few very rare metals that are in the Kivu area of eastern Zaire, i.e. the present Democratic Republic of Congo. For the rest, with the exception of certain gas and oil deposits, Africa is not strategic for Europe and we can very well do without it.

But in any case, at the moment, as long as the issue of Ukraine is not resolved, Russia will be a bit on the back foot in Africa. However, in the previous phase, during which Russia developed an active, not to say aggressive, policy in Africa, it was not raw materials that it was looking for. It knew very well that it did not need them, especially since it is full of raw materials itself. Russia has in fact been trying to play a very subtle card in my opinion. Rather than spending money on development, which is of no use at all — we have been doing it ourselves for 70 years and we see the results — the Russians thought that they should take control of the really powerful groups in Africa, i.e. the armies. Because by holding the armies, they can hold the countries. The Russians’ calculation was very simple. It consisted in having voices in the U.N. that would allow Russia not to be isolated. Just look at how Africa voted when it came to the votes about the war in Ukraine.

This is still the Russian obsession, and it goes back to imperial Russia. With its obsession with access to the warm seas, Russia is convinced that it is surrounded. Seven or eight years ago, I visited the former military headquarters of the Soviet Union, which had been built under the city of Moscow in the event of a nuclear war. It is a fascinating visit for a historian because they show you films where everything revolves around this obsession with encirclement. To us French, it may seem incredible: France, which is a very small country, does not have the impression of being surrounded, and Russia, which extends over two continents, over immense areas, has the impression of being encircled.

Seeing itself as being surrounded, Russia thinks that it needs support and actors who will relay its message abroad, and it’s got them. At the UN, very few African countries voted to condemn Russia over Ukraine.
 
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