Now, about Armenia...

Count Alex di Cagliostro

Count Alex di Cagliostro

Possible NPC
Armenia has strong or rich neighbours (Turkey, Iran, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Russia).

Best is to make peace with Turkey and Azerbaijan, than at least the border would be opened again for trade and economic investments.

Turkey is investing heavily for years now in Georgia, because Turkish businesses are openminded and creative. Why not in Armenia?

They must forget politics and pre-conditions now. It did not helped them for the last 100 years. And it wouldnt help them the next 100 years. They are heavy friends with Iran and Russia, but they got poorer and poorer and lost Artsakh/Nagorno-Karabach.

Armenia need trade, economic development and foreign investments. Peace with Turkey is the key.

Only Turkey can upgrade the Armenian economy, like they did and still doing with Azerbaijan, Somalia, Bosnia Herzegovina, Albania, Bangladesh, North Cyprus, Kosovo, Uzbekistan, Venezuela and Georgia. Even when Turkish inflation is 80% and the Lira is crumbling.
 
Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Сила бога-нам подмога
It doesn't look like Azerbaijan is going to get their way this time, as even Turkey seems like they're not going to let their ally/vassal state ruin the thawing of Russian/Turkish relations, which are rapidly approaching an all-time high.

Russia and Turkey have too much at stake at the impending collapse of the European federal state, that it belies reality that President Erdoğan would let something like Armenia (which is increasingly becoming a minor issue to Turkey, not so much to Azerbaijan) destroy warm and cosy relations when there is so much to gain at mutual cooperation:

asia.nikkei.com

Ukraine from Sept. 15 to Oct. 7: Russia strikes housing in Zaporizhzhia

Biden says nuclear 'Armageddon' risk highest since Cuban crisis; two Russians sail to Alaska, seek asylum
asia.nikkei.com asia.nikkei.com

www.reuters.com

Turkey, Russia reach deal resolving nuclear plant dispute, media report

President Tayyip Erdogan said Turkey and Russia had reached a deal resolving a dispute over a nuclear power plant being built at Akkuyu in southern Turkey, reinstating a Turkish contractor, broadcaster NTV and other media said on Saturday.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com

www.reuters.com

Russia's Putin says Erdogan helping to end war but Zelenskiy not ready for talks

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday praised Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan's efforts to end the war in Ukraine, but said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy was not prepared to hold peace talks.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com

To reiterate, under Putin and Erdoğan, relations have probably hit the highest they have ever been since the Turkish Revolution of 1908. Many issues that have long proven contentious have proven relatively easy with open dialogue, and the coming Turco-Russian cooperation organisation will certainly put a shudder in the NATOist powers that be; I just don't see the issue of Armenia-Azerbaijan being allowed to get out of control, and thus Turkey will do what they can to corral Aliyev's ambitions.
 
Petr

Petr

Administrator
Armenians better get rid of their miserable wimp president if they get some kind of breather now.
 
Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Сила бога-нам подмога
Moving beyond the realm or geopolitical curio and becoming a pest, Aliyev is going to be muzzled, or he is going to be removed. Russia, Turkey, and Iran don't want this, and his ill-formed decision to attack Armenia at such a crucial time is not even welcomed by his closest allies in Istanbul this iteration, with Erdoğan quickly dispatching to Baku to put a leash on his pet and force the Azeris into a unilateral ceasefire:


www.al-monitor.com

Erdogan meets Azerbaijan’s Aliyev as Baku, Yerevan reach ceasefire

Azerbaijan-Armenia tensions and the grain corridor are expected to top Erdogan’s meeting with Putin on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, where Turkey is attending at the presidential level for the first time.
www.al-monitor.com www.al-monitor.com

I have confidence that this issue will quickly resolve itself, as Aliyev doesn't want to find himself at the displeasure of the Sultan sitting by the Strait of Marmara.
 
Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Сила бога-нам подмога
www.trtworld.com

Erdogan seeks to ease Armenia-Azerbaijan tensions

Yerevan must desist from provoking its neighbour and adhere to previous commitments between the two Caucasian nations, says Türkiye’s president.
www.trtworld.com www.trtworld.com

Speaking about his interaction with his Azerbaijani counterpart, Ilham Aliyev, Erdogan said Baku has achieved its goal of securing the territory and indicated he didn’t see any reason for the situation on the ground to get any worse.
Click to expand...

Translation: "Show's over, time to pack up and go home"
 
Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Rawhide "Doug" Kobayashi

Сила бога-нам подмога
Count Alex di Cagliostro said:
Turkey is investing heavily for years now in Georgia, because Turkish businesses are openminded and creative. Why not in Armenia?
Click to expand...

Geopolitical implications around the Turkish acknowledgement of the Armenian Genocide (which would result in subsequent legal action towards reparations and irredentist ceding of territory) make this practically impossible, and thus Armenia will never formally recognise Turkey and move on from the issue. As a result, the best that one can hope for is that Turkish trade is facillitated through the Eurasian Economic Union, which would allow Turkish trade to reach Armenia via Nursultan, Moscow or Minsk as conduits.
 
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